巴西计划到 2030 年成为第五大原油出口国

巴西矿业和能源部长Bento Albuquerque上周四在接受媒体采访时表示，巴西预计这十年的石油产量激增将使其成为 2030 年世界第五大原油出口国。

“到 2030 年，当我们达到每天 530 万桶石油的产量时，巴西将成为世界第五大出口国，”Albuquerque表示，并补充说巴西的原油和液体产量将从每天 330 万桶跃升。

目前，巴西位列世界最大原油出口国前十名，沙特稳居榜首。

巴西多产的盐下海上油田近年来一直在提高产量，是石油产量增加的主要推动力。此外，根据欧佩克本身的估计，巴西是不属于欧佩克+联盟的国家之一，预计今年和未来几年将继续为非欧佩克供应做出贡献。

欧佩克在 6 月份的最新月度石油市场报告 (MOMR) 中表示，预计 2021 年供应增长的主要驱动因素是加拿大、巴西、中国和挪威。

巴西 2021 年 4 月的原油产量比 3 月增加了 128,000 桶/日，达到平均 297 万桶/日。欧佩克估计，根据初步生产数据，以及由于维护减少和其他计划外停产导致的停产减少，5 月原油产量显示，月度环比增长将进一步超过 5 万桶/日。

根据行业监管机构 ANP 上个月发布的数据，2020 年巴西原油产量增长 5.7%，达到平均 290 万桶/日。日产 200 万桶的盐下盆地引领供应增加。ANP 表示，由于原油产量增加，巴西的出口量在 2020 年达到创纪录的 140 万桶/日，同比增长 16.9%。

原文阅读：

Brazil’s expected oil output surge this decade will make it the world’s fifth-largest crude exporter in 2030, Brazilian Mines and Energy Minister Bento Albuquerque said in an interview with The Rio Times on Thursday.

“In 2030, when we reach a production of 5.3 million barrels of oil per day, Brazil will become the fifth largest exporter in the world,” Albuquerque said, adding that Brazil’s crude and liquids production is set to jump from 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) now.

Currently, Brazil is out of the top ten of the world’s largest crude oil exporters, a ranking where Saudi Arabia is firmly in the lead.

Brazil’s prolific pre-salt offshore oilfields have been ramping up production in recent years and are the main driver of rising oil production. Moreover, Brazil is one of the countries not part of the OPEC+ alliance that are expected to continue to contribute to non-OPEC supply this year and in the coming years, according to estimates from OPEC itself.

The main drivers for 2021 supply growth are anticipated to be Canada, Brazil, China, and Norway, OPEC said in its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) in June.

Brazil’s crude oil production in April 2021 rose by 128,000 bpd from March to average 2.97 million bpd. Based on preliminary production data, and fewer outages due to lower maintenance and other unplanned outages, May crude production indicates further month over month growth of more than 50,000 bpd, OPEC has estimated.

In 2020, Brazilian crude oil production rose by 5.7 percent to average 2.9 million bpd, according to data from industry regulator ANP published last month. The pre-salt basin with 2 million bpd output led the rise in supply. Thanks to the higher crude oil production, Brazil’s exports hit a record level of 1.4 million bpd in 2020, up by 16.9 percent year over year, ANP said.